The 66-1 success of Boreham Bill in last season’s Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton Park was a skinner for the bookies but this has been a good race for the punters overall since the trip was extended in 2007, with lightly raced, improving hurdlers holding a clear edge over more experienced handicappers.
Marie’s Rock, Gelino Bello and Green Book all arrive with the right profile for Saturday’s renewal, and represent big-name stables that have sent out a Lanzarote winner within the last six years.
Jamie Snowden’s Up For Parol (2.40), though, has as strong a chance as any on paper and seems to have crept in slightly under the radar at around 8-1.
Like several recent winners of this race, Up For Parol had an underwhelming stab at chasing earlier in the campaign, but he put up a career-best returned to hurdles at Haydock in December and is just 6lb higher now. He has yet to race over this trip but he is bred to improve for the step up and won a three-mile point-to-point in Ireland as a four-year-old.
Warwick 1.18 Two comfortable wins have seen Brave Seasca take a 16lb hike in the ratings but he had plenty in hand at Ascot last time out and a swift hat-trick is likely.
Kempton 1.32Foxboro might well have won but for a last-fence mistake at Wincanton in December and he should go close off a 1lb higher mark here.
Warwick 1.50 A 5lb penalty is unlikely to be enough to stop Threeunderthrufive notching up a fourth win from five starts over fences.
Kempton 2.05 All four runners go to post with a serious chance but Eldorado Allen has consistency on his side and showed up well behind First Flow at Huntingdon last time.
Warwick 2.25 A top-class renewal of this Grade Two novice hurdle with Stag Horn, rated 103 on the Flat, marginally preferred at around 9-2 to back up a successful hurdling debut at Hereford in December. He won with something to spare there and has been gelded since.
Warwick 3.00Padleyourowncanoe made a solid return to action over hurdles after 452 days off last month. Dan Skelton’s runner had promising course form over fences for Colin Tizzard in 2020 and should go well at around 7-1.
Kempton 3.15 More negatives than positives for several of these, so perhaps the veteran Double Shuffle, who has an excellent record over track and trip, may be up to repeating his win in this race – off a 1lb lower mark – last year.
Warwick 3.35Sporting John was only fourth when sent off at 5-4 at Cheltenham last time but the first two home there have franked the form since and he remains on a fair mark based on his win in November.